Saudi Arabia Or Iran: A Choice Must Be Made – OpEd

Some would claim that there is nothing to choose between Saudi Arabia and Iran, that they are Tweedledum and Tweedledee.  Both, it is argued, are authoritarian, dictatorial regimes, espousing their own extreme interpretation of sharia law – albeit one from a Sunni and the other from a Shi’ite perspective.  Both persist in judicial beheadings, amputations, and whippings, while persecuting gays, imposing restrictions on women, and bearing down heavily on any dissenting voices.  Now that the two rival bastions of Islamism are at daggers drawn, some might say a plague on both their houses.

Such an argument is simplistic.  For whereas the Saudis over many years proved themselves staunch supporters of US policies. and are today still cooperating closely with the West on security and intelligence issues while maintaining the flow of vital oil supplies, Iran has consistently denounced America and Western democracies, pursued  policies aimed at disrupting their governments, and sponsored numerous, and often horrific, terror attacks against the US and the West.

The Saudis’ decision at the start of 2016 to execute the Shia cleric Sheikh Nimr al-Nimr, as well as 46 other prisoners convicted on terrorism charges, has provoked a major crisis between Saudi Arabia and Iran. The schism has long been brewing.  In Yemen, the Saudis and their Gulf allies have spent most of the past year fighting attempts by Iranian-backed Houthis to seize control of the country. In Syria, while Iran’s Revolutionary Guards and its puppet organization, Hezbollah, are fighting to support the regime of Bashar al-Assad, Saudis are backing groups committed to overthrowing him – in line with the policy of the US and the West, who are convinced that there is no future for Syria while Assad remains in power.

So as between Saudi Arabia and Iran it should be a clear-cut no-option choice, but a major complicating factor is the long-term strategic objective of the Obama administration in the Middle East. President Obama came into office feeling guilty about America’s strength. He began his presidency by declaring as often as he could that he believed much was wrong with America.  His apology tour began on April 3, 2009 in Strasbourg.  Throughout the nation’s existence, he said, “America has shown arrogance and been dismissive even derisive” of others.  If the power of the US could be reduced, then America would have the “moral authority” to bring murderous regimes such as Iran into the “community of nations”.  So, claim some, he set about reducing America’s strength and authority in the world.

It is significant that he mentioned Iran at that early stage in his presidency.  A widely-held view among political analysts is that the “signature issue of Obama’s diplomacy”, as political scientist Amiel Unghar puts it, has been transforming US-Iranian relations.

Ungar traces this policy back to the 2006 Iraq Study Group headed by former US Secretary of State, James Baker, and former Democratic representative Lee Hamilton.  The great struggle of the time was against al-Qaeda, the Sunni Islamist terror organization that had been responsible for the 9/11 attacks, and was then totally disrupting American attempts to reconstruct Iraq.  Baker and Hamilton dreamed up the clever-clever notion that a working relationship between America and the two major Shia powers, Iran and Syria, would encourage them to fight Sunni al-Qaeda for their own sake, thus incidentally assisting America’s struggle. Additionally, the group expected Iran ‘to use its influence, especially over Shia groups in Iraq, to encourage national reconciliation’.

Ungar believes that this recklessly flawed analysis is what has been behind Obama’s willingness to accommodate Iran on the political front, and to offer it major concessions on the nuclear issue. When the Obama administration came into office, its overt aim seemed to be to eliminate Iran’s potential to produce nuclear weapons. But was it in fact working to a different and secret agenda?

During 2014 it emerged that in secret correspondence with Iran’s Supreme Leader, Obama actually attempted to engage Iran in the anti-Islamic State conflict.  In November the Wall Street Journal reported that Obama had written to Ayatollah Khamanei concerning the shared interest of the US and Iran in fighting IS militants.

“The October letter,” asserted the Wall Street Journal, “marked at least the fourth time Mr Obama has written Iran’s most powerful political and religious leader since taking office in 2009, and pledging to engage with Tehran’s Islamist government.”

By 2016 it had become clear that in the process of facilitating Iran’s journey out of the cold and into the comity of nations, the Obama administration had boosted Iran’s efforts to extend its influence across the Middle East, and in consequence had lost the confidence, and much of the respect, of its erstwhile allies such as Saudi Arabia, the Gulf States and Egypt, all of whom had good reason to regard Iran as their prime antagonist.

Did Obama’s placatory approach result in any softening of Iran’s visceral hatred of the “Great Satan”?  Not one jot. “The slogans ‘Death to Israel’ and ‘Death to America’,” proclaimed Ayatollah Khamenei just after the nuclear deal was announced, “have resounded throughout the country…. Even after this deal, our policy towards the arrogant US will not change.”

So much for the assumptions and vain hopes of the 2006 Iraq Study Group, and for the policy of appeasement. Taking every concession offered in the nuclear deal talks, and subsequently reneging in several vital respects on the final agreement, Iran’s leaders have not budged an inch on their ultimate ambitions, namely to become the dominant political and religious power in the Middle East, to sweep aside all Western-style democracies, and to impose their own Shi’ite version of Islam on the whole world.

And yet, while the Saudis have time and again demonstrated the value of their alliance with the West, influential voices in the US and the UK are still arguing that since Iran has agreed a deal over its nuclear programme, the West’s long-term interests may be better served by building closer relations with Tehran.

Iran’s revolutionary regime is not, and never could be, an ally of the West.  Its aim, like that of Islamic State, is to disrupt and eventually to dominate the democratic world. It has established a firm grip on the Iranian people and ruthlessly crushes all opposition – though the opposition exists, and one day may succeed in genuinely restoring Iran and its people to the community of nations.  But as matters stand, between a staunch ally and a declared enemy, one might well wonder why there is any question of which to support. That the question even arises speaks volumes about the misconceived policies that have dominated Washington’s thinking for the past seven years.


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Neville Teller

Neville Teller

Neville Teller’s latest book is “The Chaos in the Middle East, 2014-2016” (2016), and writes the blog "A Mid-East Journal". He is also a long-time dramatist, writer and abridger for BBC radio and for the UK audiobook industry. Born in London and educated at Owen's School and St Edmund Hall, Oxford, he is a past chairman of the Society of Authors' Broadcasting Committee, and of the Contributors' Committee of the Audiobook Publishing Association. He was made an MBE in the Queen's Birthday Honours, 2006 "for services to broadcasting and to drama."

6 thoughts on “Saudi Arabia Or Iran: A Choice Must Be Made – OpEd

  • January 19, 2016 at 6:15 am
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    Coming from a scholar like you, Mr. Teller? I am disappointed.

    Your analysis of the events in the past 100+ years of the region seems so simplistic and shallow, forgive the term.

    There is one way to find your truth: I invite you to take some time, and even take your family with you, to live in that region for some time and live among the common people and overlook the ruling-glitz of those countries and “staunch allies” you are so knowledgeable of.

    It is unfortunate to read such an analysis about Western Asian region and its politics(and not “Middle East”) by a scholar, Mr. Teller.

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  • January 19, 2016 at 10:32 am
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    This is a very one-sided presentation of the issues. The historic interference of the West to remove Mossadeq and reinstall the Shah’s son so that the Anglo-Iranian oil company could attempt to restore its prerogatives is the memory behind Iran’s lack of loyalty to the USA.The US’s encouragement of its then ally in Iraq to attack Iran did not help. There is a greater pluralism in Iran than in Saudi from which social developments may emerge. Iran has not been funding extreme salafist movements throughout the world from which we are now reaping the consquences.

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  • January 19, 2016 at 12:33 pm
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    How much did he get paid by the Saudis for this laughably anti-Iranian propaganda drivel?

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  • January 19, 2016 at 1:37 pm
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    What a misguiding, advocacy piece this is! So Saudi Arabia and Iran are both bad; presumably leaving behind Israel to be good. There are hundreds of millions of people in Middle East and gazzilions of dollars worth of business in there outside Israel. US cannot possibly ignore all that without harming itself. A balanced approach to all players in the area is a wise choice, without any preconceived biases (as Mr. Teller so unabashedly churns out) towards any side, religion, culture or race. I love Israel, but love American even more.

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  • January 19, 2016 at 5:03 pm
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    This title and analysis have no value for US Imperial strategy. For this strategy to succeed it must operate with all competing parts of the region in order to create imbalances and conflicts between these parts. Three goals are achieved by following this method. First, Arab oil and funds will be under control and are used to purchase US weapons. Second, division among Muslims and Islam will continue in order to bomb Islam right in the core. Sectarian divisions will be the norm. Syria and Iraq will be disintegrated into several weak states. Third, Israel will be the most powerful country in the region. Simply, the multiple goal function problem can be easily solved for the benefits of US imperialism and Israel at the expense of the Arab world. Iran will not be affected because US and the West are not interested in fighting any country with a strong army and full of weapons such as Iran and North Korea. Modern imperialism shows its might against defenseless nations such as Iraq, Libya, Granada, and the like. In addition, Iran is the basic tool to crack Muslims and to drain the kingdom money. So, it is stupid to choose one or the other.

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  • January 19, 2016 at 5:36 pm
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    The ethnic dynamics are not completely discussed in this piece.Sunni and Shia differences are similar to Catholic and Protestant fights. White people fighting over political power under the guise of religion. The Iranian difference is that, although predominantly Shia, the Iranians are Persian, not Arab and not Semitic. They are all, still, a culture of liars, proud to misstate the truth to their own advantage. But the non-Arabs sustain a long heritage of enlightenment and culture that is not shared by the tribalists who can recall no great deed other than death and conquest. You can expect a move away from fundamentalism, sooner or later, among the Persians but not so among the Arabs. So we negotiate with both, since that is their way of life, and await the emergence once again of civilized Iranians.

    Reply

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