Melting Arctic Ice Cap At Record Low

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By Heath McCoy

Think of a poor hamster on a spinning wheel, caught up by momentum and unable to stop until it’s overwhelmed, sent tumbling, crashing out of control inside.

That’s the analogy John Yackel, head of the department of geography, makes when he considers the annual summer ice melt in the Arctic, which he’s been closely monitoring for the past 15 years – documenting the ice cover as it’s steadily shrunk in the wake of Arctic and global warming.

Location of the Arctic.
Location of the Arctic.

Thoughts of imminent crashes seem particularly ominous this year as last week marked the unofficial peak, or the end of the summer ice melt, with ice levels more dramatically diminished than at any time since satellite monitoring began 33 years ago.

The previous record low for Arctic sea ice extent, set on Sept. 18, 2007 with a 4.17-million sq.-km. ice cap, was already shattered by the end of August this year when it had melted to below 4-million sq. km.

“This is the smallest minimum ice extent we’ve ever had, and not just in the satellite record, but probably in the last million years,” says Yackel, a sea ice geophysicist and climatologist.

From the patterns he has observed, this year’s extreme melt could be the beginning of a frightening trend.

Yackel and the university-based Cryosphere Climate Research Group use satellite technology to research the physical properties of Arctic ice. As recently as the 1980s, most of the ice in the Arctic Ocean was “multi-year ice,” – thick ice that would remain throughout the summer. At that time, the split between multi-year ice and seasonal ice – ice that would melt away in the summer – was about 80 per cent multi-year and 20 per cent seasonal.

“In the last 20 years we’ve almost gotten to the point where we’ve reversed that ratio,” Yackel says, predicting the ice extent that covers the Arctic Ocean “is likely to be gone in the summers within the next 20 to 25 years, if not sooner.”

The depleting ice cover would have serious ramifications for the planet. Arctic ice acts as a reflector of sunlight, helping regulate the Earth’s temperature, cooling the climate.

“When there’s no longer that sea ice below the air mass and it’s just open ocean, that’s when more moisture off the ocean’s surface gets into the atmosphere and the water vapor in the atmosphere makes for more violent storms,” says Yackel.

“We can also expect to see an increase in storm frequency and storm intensity for most of the world’s populated places as the Arctic and Earth continues to warm.”

One thought on “Melting Arctic Ice Cap At Record Low

  • September 25, 2012 at 5:56 pm
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    Open water is the source of precipitation; when it is at -2C, as per the Arctic sea-ice/water mix, the precipitate falls from the atmosphere as snow.

    The ONLY requirement for forming/increasing glaciers is: “more snow falls than can melt”.

    Let us hope that the monitoring of snowfall is given the equal billing as that of ice melting.

    It is a scientifically arrived at fact that earth temperatures overall were higher immediately before and immediately after the last “ice age” than anything existing during the 8000 years just passed and the forecast for the next 200 years.
    If the Ocean temperatures are factored in the temperature sums are as well greater DURING the glaciation than they are now.

    Is our destruction of earth’s photosynthetic capacity leading to hot dry desertification or another ice age?

    Either way we can give up the idea of supporting 7,8,…billion people at anything like a decent minimum standard.

    Reply

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