Meat, Butter Considered ‘Luxuries’ As Tajiks Face Steep Price Hikes – Analysis
By RFE RL
By Farangis Najibullah
(RFE/RL) — Ozoda is making mantu, a traditional Tajik dumpling dish for dinner, but instead of meat she fills the dough wrappings with chopped onion and potatoes.
“My children complained about eating pumpkin mantu every time, so I’m putting potatoes in this time — we can’t afford meat anymore,” Ozoda, a mother of four in Tajikistan’s Sughd Province said.
“We survive on bread, pasta, pumpkin, and potatoes.”
Breakfasts mostly consist of bread and tea with sugar, with the exception of “the salary day” when the schoolteacher receives her wages and the family “splurges on eggs and sausages for the kids.”
“Butter? Butter is a luxury I can’t even think about. I don’t turn to that side of the bazaar anymore,” said Ozoda. “People have a lot less money this year.”
Tajikistan, the poorest country in Central Asia, is experiencing steep price hikes on food that have put a further strain on a population that is already struggling to put adequate supplies on their tables.
It’s forcing many families to forego important nutritious food and only purchase basic staples, an alarming trend in a country where an estimated one-third of the population faces malnutrition.
According to the World Food Program, 47 percent of the people in Tajikistan live on less than $1.33 a day and an estimated 30 percent of the population are malnourished.
The coronavirus pandemic has sent food prices soaring in many countries, as it forced border closures, restricted transport networks, and disrupted import and export systems.
Tajikistan has been hit particularly hard.
Millions of households in the remittances-dependent country saw their main source of income vanish as many migrant workers were unable to travel to Russia and Kazakhstan this year.
According to the Labor Ministry, the number of Tajik migrants who went abroad for work in 2020 decreased by 57 percent compared to last year.
Even those who managed to go have had their earnings dwindle due to pandemic restrictions in the host countries.
In April, the government ordered farmers to grow more vegetables and grains instead of inedible crops, and to try to get three rounds of harvests to help ensure food security in the country.
Officials also called on the population to use their land plots and backyards as well as greenhouses to grow vegetables. Households were urged to harvest and store a two-year food supply.
Dushanbe also introduced a ban on the export of some agricultural products, including grains, potatoes, legumes, eggs, and meat.
But with 93 percent of its lands covered by mountains, it’s a tall order for Tajikistan to become self-reliant in producing food for its 9.3 million inhabitants.
A study by the World Food Program also found that some 97 percent of Tajikistan’s arable land is subject to soil degradation.
In mid-October, RFE/RL’s Tajik Service reported that prices for vegetable oil and sugar went up by as much as 30 percent in many markets in the capital, Dushanbe, where a smaller uptick was recorded in the cost of other staples, such as eggs, meat, and rice.
The price of sugar went up from $0.6 to $1, while the cost of vegetable oil rose from $1.16 to $1.55 per kilo.
Such price increases make a big difference to ordinary households in Tajikistan, where the average monthly salary is about $160 per month and the average pension for retirees is $33. Those figures include a recent across-the-board increase by the state.
The majority of Tajiks, including city dwellers, buy their groceries in bazaars where prices are cheaper than in supermarkets. In such bazaars it is customary for buyers to also haggle for lower prices.
Food prices do vary somewhat in different regions and sometimes even in different markets of the same city.
Customers complain that prices constantly fluctuate — “different prices every week” — and that they often go up without notice or explanation. Vegetable and fruit prices often go down during the prime part of the harvest season.
Figures provided by the state statistics agency indicate that the average cost of rice, flour, all types of meat, cooking oil, eggs, sugar, and tea in Dushanbe were higher in October compared to the previous month.
At the same time, the cost of milk, wheat, and beans remained stable, while the price of potatoes and cabbage went down during the same period.
According to the statistics committee, in the week starting October 19 the average price of beef in Dushanbe was $5 per kilogram, black tea $4.6, rice $1.3, and flour $0.47 per kilo.
A liter of milk cost $0.45 and a pack of 10 eggs cost about $1.
On the streets of Dushanbe, some customers told RFE/RL’s Tajik Service that they had noticed the higher prices and the new costs were not commensurate with people’s budgets, particularly those facing unemployment or working in low-paid professions.
Every somoni counts in a country where the gross domestic product per capita was only $877 before the pandemic struck earlier this year.
Dushanbe resident Rustam Nasriddinov said he no longer knows how to get by with his paltry salary amid the higher prices.
“Prices rise every day, by one somoni, two somonis. I don’t know what the reason is. I just found out that a 5-kilo pack of sunflower oil now costs $7.2 in Dushanbe,” Nasriddinov told RFE/RL.
Many customers say they are increasingly turning to cheaper and unhealthier options, such as buying cotton-seed oil instead of sunflower oil for cooking.
Others are cutting back even on unaffordable “luxuries.”
“I don’t buy eggs, meat, and fruit anymore. Even apples are too expensive for me at $1-$1.4 a kilo,” another Dushanbe resident told RFE/RL.
“I lost my job as a taxi driver in Dushanbe and now I depend on corn and wheat that my family sends me from our village,” another man said.
In Sughd, Ozoda said, families like hers have to make “tough choices.”
“For a snack, I make ‘tolqon,’ mixing crushed dry mulberry and walnuts that we harvest from the trees in our backyard. But we can’t eat them all — we’re selling half of the crop to buy firewood or coal for the winter,” she added.
Ozoda said her family was better off last year with the money her migrant laborer husband sent from Russia. Now he does odd jobs such as repairing people’s homes or working at fruit farms during Tajikistan’s harvest season.
The couple makes about $120 to $150 a month and most of it is spent on food. The family needs at least $500 for coal as the winter approaches.
Even before the pandemic, food shortages in Tajikistan meant that the average person was deprived of some 227 calories needed per day, according to a study by the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU).
By comparison, the figure was only six in Russia, 17 in Kazakhstan, and 43 in neighboring Uzbekistan.
Tajikistan ranked 93rd among 113 countries on the EIU’s Food Security Index in December 2019.
State Wage Increase
The government raised the salaries of public-sector workers and pensions by 15 percent in September and introduced an additional pay raise and bonuses for health-care workers. Officers and other law-enforcement sector workers, the judiciary system, and the military saw their wages increase by 10 percent.
But many people say more needs to be done to help people by investing in the resources needed to create jobs and greater income generation in the country.
Some residents even suggest that authorities should open subsidized food stores to help protect the most vulnerable until the situation improves.
“The government needs to listen to the people, real people,” said a journalist from the southern Kulob region who asked for anonymity for fear he could be punished for speaking critically.
“You can see an abundance of food in the bazaars and yes, you see people buying stuff, some even not looking at the prices. But that is not the majority.”
He concluded: “Anyone who says the majority of Tajiks are eating an adequate amount of food, is detached from reality and has no idea what’s going on.”
RFE/RL’s Tajik Service contributed to this report
- Farangis Najibullah is a senior correspondent for RFE/RL who focuses on Central Asia.