Purple Strategies released Thursday the results of their June PurplePoll for the 2012 election cycle. The poll reveals Mitt Romney now leads in Ohio and Florida and continues to improve his position across Purple States, where President Obama maintains a two-point lead. Meanwhile, Obama now holds leads in the other two Purple Predictor states: Virginia and Colorado.
The last two Purple Polls have shown President Obama and Mitt Romney with a four-point ballot gap. June’s results show this gap has shrunk to two points, a statistical dead heat. The results show Barack Obama with 48 percent and Mitt Romney with 46 percent of the vote; seven percent remain undecided, marking the first time since January that the candidates were within two points of each other in these critical Purple States.
The survey also shows that despite still trailing, Mitt Romney continues to consolidate support among Republicans – 86 percent, up from 82 percent in April – and has reached his highest vote total since our tracking began in September of 2011. At the same time, President Obama has seen his support among independents shrink by four points, to 40 percent.
“Romney has survived his bruising primary battle, and is making inroads across Purple States.” said Doug Usher, Ph.D., Managing Director of Purple Insights. “But he has yet to crack Obama’s lead overall, and in two of the four key swing states.”
“Since Romney’s introduction as the Republican standard-bearer, we have witnessed a solidification of the base coupled with positive outreach to key voter blocks like independents, women and veteran voters,” said Rob Collins, Partner at Purple Strategies. “In contrast, President Obama has had to contend with continued economic uncertainty and an increase in joblessness, which have been factors in this race tighten, particularly in the Purple States.”