Europe’s Voice Matters: Why Excluding The EU From Ukraine Peace Talks Risks Global Security – OpEd

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The recent U.S.-Russia proposal for peace talks regarding Ukraine, which excludes European participation, has ignited a heated debate over diplomacy, regional security, and transatlantic relations. This exclusion not only threatens European strategic interests but also undermines cohesion alliance and risks an unsustainable agreement.  Europe must assert its role in these negotiations to protect its security, ensure long-term peace, and maintain unity within the alliance.

Since the outbreak of the Ukraine conflict in 2022, Europe has been a central actor providing €100 billion in aid enforcing strict sanctions on Russia, and hosting millions of Ukrainian refugees. This extensive report highlights the commitment to regional stability in Europe. However, the exclusion of  European leaders from the March 2025 peace-proposed talks between the U.S. and Russia has sparked outrage with European officials labeling the move a diplomatic affront.  The unilateral approach undermines Europe’s investments and diminishes its geopolitical influence. European leaders argue a bilateral U.S.-Russia deal may immediately de-escalate Europe’s long-term security needs potentially weakening collective defenses against future threats. 

The exclusion of Europe threatens also transatlantic relations which have been a cornerstone of the West’s response to the Ukraine conflict. Throughout the war, the U.S. and Europe presented a united front by coordinating sanctions, providing military aid, and supporting Ukraine’s defense. Engaging Russia without European input risks fracturing the alliance and undermining NATO’s unity. Prominent leaders including French President Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor Olaf Scholz have warned that bypassing  Europe’s violates collective security principles and trust that damages transatlantic partnership. Furthermore, the lack of European involvement could weaken NATO’s coordinated defense posture making it more challenging to present a unified response to future conflicts.

The U.S.-Russia agreement without European input also overlooks risks to Ukraine’s sovereignty and Europe’s security concerns. Russia may use the talks to seek concessions, such as lifting sanctions or gaining territorial recognition, which could contradict European policies. If concessions are made without Europe’s consent, they could set a harmful precedent that weakens future diplomatic leverage and exposes Europe to further destabilization. The failure of the Minsk agreements which collapsed due to unfulfilled obligations and lack of comprehensive enforcement serves as a historical warning. Peace settlements that exclude key stakeholders often fail to yield lasting outcomes, and a similar fate could befall any agreement that does not engage Europe.

The potential for an unsustainable peace agreement is heightened by complex realities on the ground.  Russia’s occupation of Ukrainian territories persists, alongside ongoing border skirmishes and a humanitarian crisis. A nuanced approach that considers regional dynamics is essential. Europe’s exclusion risks creating an agreement that prioritizes ceasefires immediately over long-term stability. European mechanisms for participation in post-war reconstruction security and guarantees may be insufficient to maintain stability. Furthermore, an agreement that lacks European endorsement could be viewed as illegitimate by EU member states, which would further undermine support for its implementation.

The absence of Europe from the talks also undermines efforts address to broader security challenges that transcend the Ukraine conflict. Issues such as energy security, cyber hybrid, and threats are interconnected deeply with the region’s stability. Europe has been at the forefront of addressing these challenges reducing dependency on Russian energy to strengthening cyber defenses. U S.-Russia deal that neglects these dimensions could leave critical vulnerabilities unaddressed compromising regional security and undermining Europe’s ability to manage future threats.

Moreover excluding Europe from negotiations disregards economic security investments in Ukraine. The EU has provided extensive financial aid facilitated reconstruction efforts and supported Ukraine’s path to EU membership. These contributions are not only economic but also strategic reflecting Europe’s long-term commitment to regional stability. By excluding from European peace talks the U.S. risks marginalizing these contributions and diminishing the EU’s role as a geopolitical key actor. Such exclusion could embolden adversarial powers by signaling disunity in the transatlantic alliance. 

The challenges arising from Europe’s exclusion are both strategic and diplomatic. This decision has strained U.S.-EU relations, undermining the spirit of cooperation that has defined the West’s response to the crisis in Ukraine. European leaders have expressed frustration warning that unilateral approaches erode trust and set a precedent dangerous for future conflicts. Additionally, the exclusion of Europe may create division in the EU as member states struggle to respond to a peace process in which they do not have a voice. This fragmentation could weaken the EU’s collective foreign policy capabilities further diminishing its global influence. 

A multilateral approach is essential to address these challenges and ensure a sustainable peace agreement. Europe must assert its role in the negotiations to safeguard its security interests and reinforce transatlantic unity. Joint U.S.-European engagement would strengthen cohesion in NATO align security policies and enhance the legitimacy of any peace agreement. The inclusion of Europe would also ensure agreement that reflects the full spectrum regional of security concerns territorial integrity to economic recovery and humanitarian assistance. 

Moreover, a collaborative approach would enhance the enforceability of the agreement. By engaging Europe the U.S. would secure broader international support increasing the likelihood of compliance with peace terms. Historical precedents such as successful transatlantic cooperation during the Balkan conflicts demonstrated in the 1990s that multilateral engagement is critical for achieving durable peace agreements.  In contrast that agreements exclude key stakeholders such as the Minsk Accords have proven ineffective. 

Ultimately European participation is not only a matter of regional security but also a reflection of transatlantic solidarity. The Ukraine conflict has tested the resilience of the U.S.-European alliance and the peace talks represent a pivotal moment reaffirming this partnership. Demanding inclusion in the negotiations upholds Europe’s strategic interests and reinforces global diplomatic norms, thereby advancing stability and future security in the region.

In conclusion, Europe’s exclusion from the U.S.-Russia peace talks threatens Ukraine’s transatlantic cohesion, undermines regional security, and risks unsustainable an agreement. Europe’s stake in the conflict and the significant contributions to Ukraine’s defense and long-term security necessitate concerns about its participation in the negotiations. In a multilateral approach, Europe is a key partner essential for ensuring a comprehensive and enforceable peace agreement. The unity forged through joint engagement would not only secure regional stability but also strengthen the transatlantic alliance reaffirming the principles of collective security and shared responsibility. As history has shown peace achieved is not through exclusion but collaboration through and shared commitment.

The opinions expressed in this article are the author’s own.

References

  • Andersson, Jan Joel, and Clara Sophie Cramer, editors. Yearbook of European Security 2023. European Union Institute for Security Studies, 2023. 
  • Cox, Michael, editor. Ukraine: Russia’s War and the Future of the Global Order. London School of Economics, 2023.
  • Borrell Fontelles, Josep. Europe Between Two Wars: EU Foreign Policy 2023. European External Action Service, 2023

Simon Hutagalung

Simon Hutagalung is a retired diplomat from the Indonesian Foreign Ministry and received his master's degree in political science and comparative politics from the City University of New York. The opinions expressed in his articles are his own.

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