ISSN 2330-717X

Moscow Has Achieved Two Of Its Three War Aims In Ukraine With Respect To Crimea – OpEd

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Ukrainians continue to resist the Russian advance, but Sergey Marzhetsky, a Russian security commentator, argues that in the first 24 hours of this stage of the conflict, Moscow has achieved two of its three war aims in Ukraine with respect to Russian-occupied Crimea.

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First of all, he says, Moscow has taken full control of Ukrainian regions on the western shore of the Sea of Azov thus guaranteeing it a reliable land bridge to Crimea and complete control of the Sea of Azov, thereby eliminating the possibility that Ukraine or any other country could use that against Russia (topcor.ru/24208-vojna-z-rossijskie-voennye-za-poldnja-reshili-dve-iz-treh-problem-kryma.html).

And second, “Russian forces have taken under their control the entire infrastructure of the North-Crimean canal, ensuring that the Crimean peninsula will finally have a reliable source of potable water and that no one will be able to use “a water weapon” against the Russian presence there.

But third, Marzhetsky says, the third and most important problem of Crimea, “unfortunately” remains unresolved – the legal status of the peninsula. “Neither Ukraine nor the collective West standing behind it has recognized Crimea as Russian,” something that creates any number of problems for residents of the region.

The Russian foreign ministry has been unable to secure a change in approach among Western countries, and so now the Russian military must seek “the complete and unconditional defeat” of Ukraine on the battlefield and force Kyiv to seriously revise its views and the structure of its state.

“One of Moscow’s demands can and must be,” the security analyst argues, “Kyiv’s recognition of the rights of Crimeans and residents of the Donbass for self-determination, Crimea as Russian and the DNR and LNR as independent states.” Whether the latter two join Russia can be decided later.

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Paul Goble

Paul Goble is a longtime specialist on ethnic and religious questions in Eurasia. Most recently, he was director of research and publications at the Azerbaijan Diplomatic Academy. Earlier, he served as vice dean for the social sciences and humanities at Audentes University in Tallinn and a senior research associate at the EuroCollege of the University of Tartu in Estonia. He has served in various capacities in the U.S. State Department, the Central Intelligence Agency and the International Broadcasting Bureau as well as at the Voice of America and Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty and at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Mr. Goble maintains the Window on Eurasia blog and can be contacted directly at [email protected] .

One thought on “Moscow Has Achieved Two Of Its Three War Aims In Ukraine With Respect To Crimea – OpEd

  • February 28, 2022 at 11:39 am
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    “Kyiv’s recognition of the rights of Crimeans and residents of the Donbass for self-determination, Crimea as Russian and the DNR and LNR as independent states.” Whether the latter two join Russia can be decided late…..”

    Why would they do that? Its integral sovereignty was violated, and the west stood by that’s for sure.. but that doesn’t change the fact that sovereignty was violated. Russians were never treated wrongly, for about 80% of Ukraine Russian is their “mother?” tongue, however, Russia creates issues for recreating its former alliance.

    If Ukraine would ever agree with separation of the donbas region there must be agreement over the fact they will over time enter the EU and Nato too. With Putin at the helm Russia will remain unpredictable and eat itself into Europe. Via crippling, destroying the Russian economy, eventually seizing al oligarch assets abroad plus properly informing the Russian population it is in the end Putin who has to go. The main failed tremendously and will be in line with all dictators so far, they all brought dispair and broken economies (only the Romans and Napoleon left us with some good institutions and ideas).

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