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Founded in 1955, FPRI (http://www.fpri.org/) is a 501(c)(3) non-profit organization devoted to bringing the insights of scholarship to bear on the development of policies that advance U.S. national interests and seeks to add perspective to events by fitting them into the larger historical and cultural context of international politics.

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The China-Japan Clash: What Is Behind It? – Analysis

The China-Japan Clash: What Is Behind It? – Analysis

By Gilbert Rozman As observers struggle to predict the future of East Asia, they face a familiar choice among three schools of thought — realist theorists, who foresee the danger…

The Northern Caucasus, The Tsarnaevs, And The US – Analysis

The Northern Caucasus, The Tsarnaevs, And The US – Analysis

By Michael A. Reynolds The identification of two young Chechen males as the alleged perpetrators of bombing of the Boston Marathon has caused Americans to ask a great many questions…

Understanding Afghan Insurgents: Motivations, Goals, And The Reconciliation And Reintegration Process – Analysis

Understanding Afghan Insurgents: Motivations, Goals, And The Reconciliation And Reintegration Process – Analysis

By Andrew Garfield and Alicia Boyd 78 in-depth interviews were conducted with self-identified Afghan insurgents in Baghlan, Ghazni, Helmand, Kandahar, Khost, Kunar, Kunduz, Nangarhar, Nimruz, Nuristan, Paktia, Parwan, Uruzgan, Wardak,…

Syrian Perceptions Of US Intervention In Syria – Analysis

Syrian Perceptions Of US Intervention In Syria – Analysis

By Layla Saleh The prospect of yet another U.S. intervention in the Islamic world spurs a range of views not only in the U.S. but also in the Arab world.…

Russia And The Boston Bombings – Analysis

Russia And The Boston Bombings – Analysis

By David Satter In the wake of the bombing of the Boston Marathon, President Obama has thanked Vladimir Putin for his help and agreed on closer cooperation with Russia on…

China And The World: The View From Salzburg, Then And Now – Analysis

China And The World: The View From Salzburg, Then And Now – Analysis

By Jacques deLisle When the National People’s Congress met this month and named Xi Jinping China’s President (and thereby completed conferral of the triple crown worn by top Chinese leaders:…

How Iraq’s Future May Be Shaped By Its Neighbors – Analysis

How Iraq’s Future May Be Shaped By Its Neighbors – Analysis

By Yoel Guzansky and Gallia Lindenstrauss Since the last American soldiers left Iraq more than a year ago, the fear of rising Iranian influence in the country has become more…

Understanding North Korea – Analysis

Understanding North Korea – Analysis

By Kongdan Oh When the third son of dying leader Kim Jong-il was designated as the successor of his ailing father in December 2011, the media asked me to comment…

The Road To Africa Runs Through Morocco – Analysis

By Ahmed Charai The current visit by Moroccan king Mohammed VI to three countries in sub-Saharan Africa—Senegal, Gabon, and Ivory Coast—has opened new doors for the Moroccan-American partnership to fight…

Syrian Druze: Toward Defiant Neutrality – Analysis

Syrian Druze: Toward Defiant Neutrality – Analysis

By Gary C. Gambill Syria’s Druze community once played a major role in shaping the country’s modern history, despite comprising a mere three percent of the population. Today, however, this…

Syria: Time For Inaction? – Analysis

Syria: Time For Inaction? – Analysis

By Adam Garfinkle s the new, very marginally more muscular, U.S. disposition toward the Syrian opposition a good idea? To answer this question properly, we have to take a step…

John Quincy Adams And American Foreign Policy In A Revolutionary Era – Analysis

John Quincy Adams And American Foreign Policy In A Revolutionary Era – Analysis

By Charles Edel John Quincy Adams famously proclaimed “America goes not abroad, in search of monsters to destroy” in a speech that has been quoted ever since to justify noninterference…

The Russian Stake In Afghanistan – Analysis

The Russian Stake In Afghanistan – Analysis

By David Satter As the U.S. prepares to withdraw from Afghanistan, perhaps no nation has more to fear from the consequences than Russia which faces the possibility of both instability…

When Foreign Policy Goals Exceed Military Capacity, Call The Pentagon – Analysis

When Foreign Policy Goals Exceed Military Capacity, Call The Pentagon – Analysis

By Derek S. Reveron With dozens of treaty allies and a strategic priority of promoting the sovereignty of weak states, the U.S. military has been gradually shifting from a force…

The West And The Muslim Brotherhood After The Arab Spring – Analysis

The West And The Muslim Brotherhood After The Arab Spring – Analysis

By Lorenzo Vidino Before December 2010, virtually no one had heard of Mohammed Bouazizi outside of the dilapidated central Tunisian town of Sidi Bouzid. Yet when he set himself on…

When Foreign Policy Goals Exceed Military Capacity, Call The Pentagon – Analysis

When Foreign Policy Goals Exceed Military Capacity, Call The Pentagon – Analysis

By Derek S. Reveron With dozens of treaty allies and a strategic priority of promoting the sovereignty of weak states, the U.S. military has been gradually shifting from a force…

The Geopolitical Transformation Of Southeast Asia – Analysis

The Geopolitical Transformation Of Southeast Asia – Analysis

By Marvin C. Ott Viewed from Washington, rapid systemic change has become a constant feature of global geopolitics. Nowhere is this truer than in the long overlooked precincts of Southeast…

What Every American Should Know About Egypt’s Muslim Brotherhood – Lecture

What Every American Should Know About Egypt’s Muslim Brotherhood – Lecture

By Eric Trager Templeton Lecture on Religion and World Affairs One of the questions often asked is how is it that an uprising that seemed to feature pro-democratic, secular young…

U.S. Strategy For Countering Violent Extremism: An Assessment

U.S. Strategy For Countering Violent Extremism: An Assessment

By Will McCants and Clint Watts The United States and its allies devote considerable financial and human resources to countering violent extremism (CVE). CVE is a central pillar of the…

The Bomb Returns For A Second Act – Analysis

The Bomb Returns For A Second Act – Analysis

By Paul Bracken Atomic weapons have returned for a second act. This time the bomb’s spread has nothing to do with the cold war, the first nuclear age that remains…

Israel, Hamas, And ‘The Egypt We Were Waiting For’ – Analysis

Israel, Hamas, And ‘The Egypt We Were Waiting For’ – Analysis

By Brandon Friedman The current confrontation between Israel and Hamas has its roots in Egypt. On 5 August, sixteen Egyptian soldiers were killed by militants crossing into Egypt from Gaza.…

The Decline Of The Rial In The Iranian Media – Analysis

The Decline Of The Rial In The Iranian Media – Analysis

By Kate Manbachi On July 11, 2012, the Minister of Culture and Islamic Guidance, Seyyed Mohammad Hosseini, publicly warned the Iranian press against publishing pieces about the negative effects of…

Is An Israeli-Syrian War Next?

Is An Israeli-Syrian War Next?

By Benedetta Berti While the eyes of the world are focused on the raging military confrontation between Israel and Hamas in Gaza, Israel is dealing with broader instability in its…

Understanding The Muslim Brotherhood – Analysis

Understanding The Muslim Brotherhood – Analysis

By Barry Rubin Today, the Muslim Brotherhood is the most important international political organization in the Arabic-speaking world. It is the dominant party in Egypt’s parliament, having obtained about 47…

Syrian Rebel Use Of Social Media – Analysis

Syrian Rebel Use Of Social Media – Analysis

By Asher Berman The Syrian rebels and their support networks use social media for a variety of purposes including self-promotion, fundraising, directing attacks, and exchanging tactics. While the rebels would…

Russia And The U.S. Elections – Analysis

Russia And The U.S. Elections – Analysis

By David Satter Russian president Putin clearly prefers President Obama over Mitt Romney in the U.S. presidential election. But no matter who wins, all indications are that U.S.-Russian relations are…

Jordan, Morocco, And The Future Of The Middle East – Analysis

Jordan, Morocco, And The Future Of The Middle East – Analysis

By Ahmed Charai (Amman, Jordan, October 19, 2012) — Jordan is a tiny, liberal monarchy in a tough neighborhood. To its West, is the West Bank and Israel and the…

Has Democracy Met The Stress Test In Post-Communist Europe? – Analysis

Has Democracy Met The Stress Test In Post-Communist Europe? – Analysis

By Adrian A. Basora The global financial crisis and its European aftermath have created, in effect, a major stress test for democracy in the ten post-communist countries of the European…

American Exceptionalism: Exposed – Analysis

American Exceptionalism: Exposed – Analysis

By Walter A. McDougall In 2010 Sarah Palin toured the United States promoting “Tea Party” candidates and her new book titled America by Heart: Reflections on Family, Faith, and Flag.…

The Syrian Crisis And The Saudi-Iranian Rivalry – Analysis

The Syrian Crisis And The Saudi-Iranian Rivalry – Analysis

By Benedetta Berti and Yoel Guzansky Understanding Syrian-Saudi Relations The ongoing internal conflict between the Assad-led government and the political and military opposition forces within Syria has increasingly become a…

Putin Bets On Repression – OpEd

Putin Bets On Repression – OpEd

By David Satter In his first four months in office, Putin has done little about Russia’s social and economic problems but he has made it clear that he intends to…

The End Of Strategic Happy Talk? – OpEd

The End Of Strategic Happy Talk? – OpEd

Thoughts on Robert Kaplan’s “Revenge of Geography” By Mackubin T. Owens During the decades after the fall of the Soviet Union and the American victory against Iraq in 1991, far…

Of Chinese Snakeheads And Mexican Coyotes: Globalization Of Crime-Terror Pipelines – Analysis

Of Chinese Snakeheads And Mexican Coyotes: Globalization Of Crime-Terror Pipelines – Analysis

By Vanessa Neumann The latest White House Strategy to Combat Transnational Organized Crime [1] and the Department of Defense Counternarcotics and Global Threats Strategy [2] both clearly prioritize combating transnational…

Israel’s Contested Space In Historical Perspective – Analysis

Israel’s Contested Space In Historical Perspective – Analysis

By Jeremy Black In a crowded world employing precise means of measurement in order to define and represent boundaries, it is understandable that the past is scrutinized to provide historical…

From Brain Drain To Brain Flow: The New Economy Of Innovation Turbulence – OpEd

From Brain Drain To Brain Flow: The New Economy Of Innovation Turbulence – OpEd

By Lawrence Husick At one time in the recent past, leaders in developing countries and in international organizations decried the “brain drain” that led the best and brightest in what…

The Far East Between Russia, China, And America – Analysis

The Far East Between Russia, China, And America – Analysis

By Rens Lee Moscow’s relations with its eastern territories, especially the nine provinces of the Russian Far East (RFE), have significant security implications for Russia and for the Asia-Pacific community…

The Crime Of Russian Law Enforcement – Analysis

The Crime Of Russian Law Enforcement – Analysis

By David Satter As the Putin regime faces its first serious political challenge in more than twelve years, two recent developments have cast an ominous light on the criminal nature…

What If There Is No Al-Qaeda? Preparing For Future Terrorism – Analysis

What If There Is No Al-Qaeda? Preparing For Future Terrorism – Analysis

By Clint Watts More than a year after the death of Osama Bin Laden, the debate over how big of a threat al-Qaeda poses to the United State continues. Official…

Nuclear Mirage? Assessing Civilian Nuclear Programs Across The Middle East – Analysis

Nuclear Mirage? Assessing Civilian Nuclear Programs Across The Middle East – Analysis

By Yoel Guzansky and Gallia Lindenstrauss In recent years, a significant number of states in the Middle East have begun seriously to consider nuclear infrastructures for civilian purposes, and some…

The Donkey, The Camel And The Facebook Scam: How The Muslim Brotherhood Conquered Egypt And Conned The World – OpEd

By Raymond Stock Closing a celebration on June 30, 2012 for his swearing-in as what the world hailed as Egypt’s first civilian, freely elected president, Mohammed Mursi declared, “We will…

Gulliver’s Troubles: Great Powers And Failed States – Analysis

Gulliver’s Troubles: Great Powers And Failed States – Analysis

By Dominic Tierney In the famous story by Jonathan Swift, Gulliver was troubled both by the tiny Lilliputians, men “not six inches high,” and by the giant Brobdingnagians, who were…

Mexico: Will Bloodshed Mar The July 1, Election? – Analysis

Mexico: Will Bloodshed Mar The July 1, Election? – Analysis

By George W. Grayson Even savvy Mexico-watchers argue that cartel violence will escalate in the run-up to the July 1 national contests in which voters will select a president, the…

The Cold War Between Turkey And Iran – Analysis

The Cold War Between Turkey And Iran – Analysis

By Can Kasapoglu With American clout in the Middle East on the decline, the historic power struggle between Turkey and Iran has intensified, each attempting to fill the vacuum in…

Understanding The Muslim Brotherhood – Analysis

Understanding The Muslim Brotherhood – Analysis

By Barry Rubin Today, the Muslim Brotherhood is the most important international political organization in the Arabic-speaking world. It is the dominant party in Egypt’s parliament, having obtained about 47…

Cyberpower And International Security – Analysis

Cyberpower And International Security – Analysis

By David Betz Like the shock paddles of a defibrillator on the chest of a heart attack victim the prefix ‘cyber’ has an electrifying effect on policymakers and strategists wrestling…

Russia’s State Church – Analysis

Russia’s State Church – Analysis

By David Satter The recent actions of the indelicately named female punk band “Pussy Riot,” whose members on March 3 entered the Christ the Savior Cathedral in Moscow and sang…

Palestinian Attitudes Toward Israel – Analysis

Palestinian Attitudes Toward Israel – Analysis

By Michael Sharnoff As the uprisings in North Africa and the Middle East enter into their second year, how have these unprecedented events impacted Palestinian attitudes toward Israel? Will Palestinians…

How Washington Lost Syria – Analysis

How Washington Lost Syria – Analysis

By Gary C. Gambill With the failure of former UN Secretary General Kofi Annan to broker a ceasefire in Syria, Western policymakers and pundits are increasingly coming to acknowledge that…

The Obama Doctrine And The Lessons Of Iraq – Analysis

By Dominic Tierney The Obama Doctrine is like the Holy Grail. People have searched for it all over the world. The Internet is full of theories about what it looks…

Who Killed Europe? A Provocation – Analysis

Who Killed Europe? A Provocation – Analysis

By Ronald J. Granieri Please allow me to begin with a concession and clarification. Some readers may object to the very premises of this essay, and I want to state…

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