The Cracked Soil Of Somaliland – OpEd

By

In the last three decades, the one thing that no unionist, cynic, or a foe could deny is that Somaliland (legally northwest of Somalia) has been a haven of peace in relation to the rest of Somalia. Though over the years a small number of analysts—this one included—have questioned the viability of the Somaliland secession aspirations and its legal merit under the international law, most of them never questioned the moral argument.

However, all of that has changed in recent weeks, as it is now certain that Somaliland did not live up to the ideals of being East Africa’s exemplary democracy.    

Bankruptcy of a Moral Argument

Somaliland’s argument for secession was based on the claim that they were betrayed by the Somali government that they entrusted with the North-South union charter – unification of British Somaliland with the Italian Somaliland. And that they were denied even-handed power sharing, and when they protested against that transgression, they became targets of ruthless military oppression. As a result, they had no choice but to part ways with the Somali government and reclaim their old independent British-Somaliland status.

Granted, their declaration had certain aspect of moral merit, but the erroneous aspect of unilaterally reclaiming the old colonial demarcation had zero legal value.

However, when people of Las Anod located in the highly contested region of Sool—the epicenter of the anti-colonial movement—tried to use that same argument against the secessionist system led by a former military colonel, Muse Bihi Abdi, who is accused of committing genocide in Borama of Awdal region in 1991, the goal-posts were removed.

The Somaliland government accused them of doing Somalia’s bidding- a treasonous act (grievance) that must be dealt with extrajudicial killings, imprisonments, and torture. This Orwellian logic is mind-numbing, to say the least. Moral causes cannot be justified with fundamentally flawed arguments. Sooner or later there will be a time of reckoning.

The painful irony is this: Somaliland, as in all federal states, established a skeleton of a government that is led by a little clannist tyrant who is willing to commit all kinds of corruptions, human rights violations to stay in power or ensure his cronies positions of power. Each one of them has duplicated the very same failed political system for their own clan domination- Somaliland, Puntland, Jubbaland, Hirshabelle, Konfurgalbeed, and Galmudug. That said: it is naïve to assess Somaliland’s current political violence against civilians and over all instability solely from that all too familiar clan perspective.

The Foreign Fuel

As the specter of clan-based political eruption creeps around, this quartet—US, UK, UAE, and Kenya—are adamant about expediting the diplomatic leverage needed for recognition of Somaliland.

In recent months, top Pentagon officials have visited Hargeisa and toured the newly renovated Berbera air and seaport. This came after President Joe Biden redeployed American troops back to Somalia.

So on January 8, 2023 (11:39AM), the US embassy in Mogadishu posted pictures and statement that confirmed the delivery of big machine-guns on social media. The embassy’s post on twitter read, “$9 million in weapons, vehicles, & equipment from the United States will support the successful campaign by @SNAForce to liberate #Somalia’s communities from al-Shabaab. Grateful to Minister @Amohamednur & #SNA CDF Odowaa for their partnership.”

When I came across this, the first that came to my mind was: Has the arms embargo been lifted? Are these weapons for the Somali National Army or DANAB- the American trained, funded, and commanded counter-terrorism forces? Why this heavy armament at this particular time of heightened inter-clan sensitivities? 

UK, the pen-holder that keeps Somalia under discreet trusteeship and arms embargo for perpetual dependency, a country that also has its own Special Forces that trained Somaliland’s– the same Special Forces that committed crimes against humanity in Las Anod. Talk about conflict of interest and checks and balances. Of course, this could be said of each one of the quartet.

UAE, creeping behind the veil of Dubai Ports World (DPW), has its mercenaries (Erik Price’s enterprises) operating across Somaliland, Puntland, Jubbaland, and Konfurgalbeed. Some of these mercenaries are already running illegal mining operations. In recent weeks, one third of a controversial 5,000 Somali troops trained by Eritrea for clandestine projects or to be rented out  as foot soldiers to places such as Socotra and projects such as the World Cup are now back in Somalia. Currently, there is no other foreign power with more clout over Somalia politics than UAE. This is also expected to expedite the de-Turkification process that I mentioned in a previous article.

Kenya is playing a dual role: On the one hand, she is the hegemonic master of Jubbaland federal state where it is already building a buffer fence deep into the Somali territory. On the other hand, it is filling that essential African representation role that is vacated by Ethiopia as the latter is spread too thin by its civil war and is too apprehensive lest recognition for Somaliland the Tigrayan aspiration for independent Tigray.

Grand strategists of the great powers of the West and the East are convinced that the power that controls the Indian Ocean and the Red Sea will command the 21st century. Moreover, the Russia-Ukraine war and China’s rapid expansion in Africa are dramatically shifting the geo-strategic importance of those waters and geographical areas.

So, a number of the big boys of the West and East have already established military bases in Djibouti where it became too crowded; especially for the U.S. and its floating military base named AFRICOM. On May last year the U.S. has dispatched a high level military delegation led by General Stephen Townsend the then Commander of AFRICOM, and on December of the same year, President Biden has signed the National Defense Authorization Act into law- Berbera is now an American military base without settling the secession issue. Stakes have never been higher for all actors.

Against that backdrop, President Muse Bihi was given the nod and wink to march on ahead to secure total control over his claimed territory by any means necessary. He was also granted the reassurance that neither the central government of Somalia nor Puntland will interfere militarily or otherwise. This is why all stated actors remained silent on the Las Anod massacres. They started to equivocate after a volcano of activist outrage erupted on social media and some rights groups issued condemnations and accused the Bihi government of committing crimes against humanity.  

Considering the extreme volatility of clan politics and the extremely sensitive timing during  which they opted to execute their scheme, said quartet and their two Somali partners cannot escape collective culpability on an imminent bloody inter-clan and intra-clan strife that could prove worse than South Sudan’s. The temperature is already heating up in Columbus, Ohio.  

The Las Anod Lesson

Las Anod’s popular uprising to demand their right to remain as part of Somalia marks a turning point in post-civil war Somali history. It highlighted a few crucial issues that cannot be swept under any negotiation table:

First: All current Somali political entities are nothing more than what I call a Beelistan- a clan enclave dominated by an alpha-clan that claims supremacy over the rest. And, since no clan can lord over other clans without their consent, Somalia proper is turned into poisonous house of cards that cannot withstand the will of the people. Perhaps this could explain why Somaliland would illegalize Somalia’s flag and kill any person who waves it in public. 

Second: There is a Las Anod waiting to erupt in every Beelistan in Somalia. Regions such as Sanaag, Ceyn, Awdal, Gedo, and Hiiraan are only a matter of time. Nothing ignites clan wars faster than flagrant attacks to their collective honor. Last March Somalia came dangerously close to renewed civil war.

Third: We are collectively desperate for a holistic reconciliation process that is initiated, financed and owned by the Somali people. The countless foreign-funded power-sharing express have proven nothing more than money laundering scheme.

Forth: It is inevitable for the collective minds of diverse Somalis of good conscience to forge a viable strategy to prevent the next massacre, to negotiate sustainable peace, and save what is left of Somalia. Trust must be cultivated and a social contract must be negotiated.

The time is ripe to reorganize a diaspora intellectual movement—similar to the one that played a key role in ending the Ethiopian occupation. This could later connect with other likeminded across the homeland.

Abukar Arman

Abukar Arman is a foreign policy analyst and a former diplomat. On Twitter: @4DialogSK

12 thoughts on “The Cracked Soil Of Somaliland – OpEd

  • January 16, 2023 at 6:41 am
    Permalink

    This is a biased article. The writer is full of hatred for Somaliland. He is a supporter of the Former dictator Siyaad Bare and he agrees with the genocide carried out by that dictator in 1988.
    The article is full of misleading views.

    Reply
    • January 17, 2023 at 2:32 pm
      Permalink

      Retorting to your usual clanish one liner and baseless victimhood convince no one at this point. You are still day dreaming dude after 30 years in wildetness. Don’t you guys have sense of shame and reflection whatsover?

      Reply
      • January 19, 2023 at 4:44 pm
        Permalink

        misleading article, full of hateful words against somaliland

        Reply
        • January 20, 2023 at 5:49 am
          Permalink

          Not hateful but reality that is ignored
          Lasanod is not contented to be part of somaliland but Bihi is compeling them to swallow the somaliland idea without enquiring further clarification

          Reply
    • January 17, 2023 at 3:31 pm
      Permalink

      As you said “this truthful article is lie” you are brutal person who with solders that massacre our innocent people in Lasanod more than 20 where dead and other 70 were severely injured.We have a video evidence that Somaliland secessiont military made directly shooting to our people. As you said Barr’s solder made this before to your people now After decades your current leader Muse bihi made like that to our people.

      Reply
    • January 19, 2023 at 5:18 am
      Permalink

      It is ironic that you mention a so-called “genocide” from thirty or so years ago but you fail to acknowledge the blatant attacks against the innocent residents of Las Anod in 2023!

      Reply
  • January 17, 2023 at 7:26 am
    Permalink

    Who is this psuedo intellectual

    Reply
  • January 17, 2023 at 12:41 pm
    Permalink

    The writer is a brave honest good gentleman.

    Reply
  • January 19, 2023 at 3:06 am
    Permalink

    Your fourth “Las Anod Lesson” is:

    “It is inevitable for the collective minds of diverse Somalis of good conscience to forge a viable strategy to prevent the next massacre, to negotiate sustainable peace, and save what is left of Somalia.”

    Did you really mean “inevitable”? Or perhaps “imperative”?

    Reply
  • January 19, 2023 at 9:31 pm
    Permalink

    This article that is far from the truth and made up of lies cannot help the reality of Lasa’anod and Somaliland as a whole and lies cannot hide the truth.

    Reply
  • January 22, 2023 at 6:31 pm
    Permalink

    The writer who is a former ambassador to the U.S for Somalia is only spreading propaganda for the unionists and the Somali government.
    The writer states,
    “Though over the years a small number of analysts—this one included—have
    questioned the viability of the Somaliland secession aspirations and its legal
    merit under the international law”
    This is absolutely false and misleading. There are many scholarly articles on international law (Carrol, Anthony J. “The Case For The Independent Statehood Of Somaliland”. International Review law 8.2 (1993): 654–681) that unequivocally state Somaliland’s legal merit for statehood. Even the African union agreed that Somaliland’s reclamation of its sovereignty is a special case that merits consideration.

    Simply put the writer is is an agent and representative of the Somali government and a well known Siadist whose bias against Somaliland is well established and has no limitations. The people who created the disturbance in Las Anod are non other than non-uniformed agents of the Somali State masquerading as civilians and the writer knows this.

    Reply
  • February 1, 2023 at 7:03 pm
    Permalink

    The pursuit of secession by the Somaliland enclave has been criticized as being morally bankrupt. This is due to the fact that the enclave’s justification for independence, which was based on a perceived betrayal by the Somali government, lacks legal validity. Furthermore, the inconsistent application of this argument, such as in the case of the current secessionist system led by Muse Bihi Abdi, raises questions about the moral legitimacy of their independence movement. The recent BlueRevolution led by the people of Lasanod has further exposed the moral bankruptcy of the Issaaq enclave’s pursuit for secession.

    Reply

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *