Central Bank Digital Currency Development Enters The Next Phase – OpEd

Central bank digital currencies can improve payment systems as well as financial inclusion—if they are appropriately designed. If not, they could pose risks.

While not all countries may see an immediate case to deploy a CBDC, many countries are exploring CBDCs so they will have the option to introduce one in the future if it becomes pertinent for them. Benefits are more likely to come in time, following the policies pursued by countries and the private sector’s response, as well as the evolution of technology.

In most cases, it would be useful for countries to continue exploring CBDC, carefully and systematically, as IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva noted in her recent speechat the Singapore Fintech Festival.

The Bahamas, Jamaica, and Nigeria have already introduced CBDCs. And more than 100 countries are in the exploration stage. Central bankers in Brazil, China, the euro area, India, and the United Kingdom are at the forefront.

The IMF recently launched a virtual CBDC Virtual Handbook to collect and share knowledge with policymakers around the world, and to serve as a basis for the IMF’s engagement with country authorities. We intend this to be a living document that will be updated and expanded as our body of knowledge and analysis grows, and as new lessons and insights emerge from countries.

The chapters published so far cover process and policy topics:

• How Should Central Banks Explore Central Bank Digital Currency? Countries that decide to pursue CBDCs will take different paths, depending on the degree of digitalization of the economy, the legal and regulatory frameworks, and the central bank’s capacity. We propose a dynamic decision-making process in which central banks can proceed despite uncertainty, and adjust the pace, scale, and scope of their initiatives in response to changes in domestic and international conditions.
  
• A Guide to Central Bank Digital Currency Product Development. To help guide central banks in exploring and developing CBDC, we’ve established a step-by-step guide to address the complex requirements and risks associated with CBDCs. We call it the 5P methodology: preparation, proof-of-concept, prototypes, pilots, and production.
  
• Implications of Central Bank Digital Currencies for Monetary Policy Transmission. We analyze how CBDCs would likely affect monetary policy. In general, policy transmission is not expected to be affected much under normal circumstances, but the effects can be more significant in an environment with low interest rates or financial market stress.
  
• Implementing capital flow management measures with CBDC. We explain how CBDCs could be designed to facilitate cross-border payments while still managing capital flows. With new digital technologies that can make payment infrastructure programmable, some of the capital-flow management measures could be implemented more efficiently and effectively with a CBDC compared to the traditional approach.
  
• Central Bank Digital Currency’s Role in Promoting Financial Inclusion. As a risk-free and widely acceptable form of digital money, with potentially lower costs and greater accessibility, CBDCs can increase financial inclusion. If properly designed to replicate some of the properties of cash, CBDCs could gain acceptance as a payment mechanism for financially excluded populations—and be an entry point to the broader formal financial system.

Looking ahead, our engagement with central banks will continue as they pursue new technologies. We will keep assessing the potential effects of CBDCs on areas from financial stability to cybersecurity and cross-border payments and build on these first five chapters with new publications planned for next year. And we’ll continue our collaboration with other global bodies, including the Group of Twenty.

The IMF will continue assisting countries exploring CBDCs, along with efforts by other global bodies like the Bank for International Settlements.

About the authors:

• Tobias Adrian is the Financial Counsellor and Director of the IMF’s Monetary and Capital Markets Department. He leads the IMF’s work on financial sector surveillance and capacity building, monetary and macroprudential policies, financial regulation, debt management, and capital markets
• Dong He is Deputy Director of the Monetary and Capital Markets Department (MCM) of the International Monetary Fund. He started his career in 1993 when he joined the World Bank through the Young Professionals Program and was a staff member of the IMF from 1998 to 2004. 
• Tommaso Mancini-Griffoli is Division Chief in the Monetary and Capital Markets Department at the International Monetary Fund (IMF), focused on monetary policy, central banking, and fintech. He has advised country authorities and published on issues related to unconventional monetary policies, monetary policy and financial stability, spillovers, exchange rate regimes and interventions, modelling and forecasting, evolving monetary policy frameworks, as well as fintech and digital currencies.
• Tao Sun is currently deputy division chief of Payment, Currencies, and Infrastructure Division at the IMF. His recent work focused on digital currencies and cross-border payments. He joined the Fund in May 2007 as an economist in the Monetary and Capital Markets Department.

Source: This article was published by IMF Blog