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Patrick Buchanan: Has Obama Called Bibi’s Bluff? – OpEd

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What is Bibi Netanyahu up to?

With all his warnings of Iran’s “nuclear capability,” of red lines being crossed, of “breakout,” of the international community failing in its duty, of an “existential threat” to Israel, what is the prime minister’s game?

The answer is apparent. Bibi wants Iran’s nuclear program shut down, all enrichment ended, all enriched uranium removed and guarantees that Iran will never again start up a nuclear program.

Netanyahu and Obama
Netanyahu and Obama

And if Tehran refuses to surrender its right even to a peaceful nuclear program, he wants its nuclear facilities, especially the enrichment facility at Fordow, deep inside a mountain, obliterated.

And he wants us to do it.

How has Bibi gone about getting America to fight Israel’s war?

He is warning, indeed threatening, that if we do not set a date certain for Iran to end enrichment of uranium, and assure Israel that we will attack Iran if it rejects our ultimatum, Israel will bomb Iran and start the war itself.

Fail to give us assurances that you will attack Iran if Iran refuses to surrender its nuclear “capability,” Bibi is warning, and we will attack Iran, with all the consequences that will have for you, for us and for the Middle East.

This is diplomatic extortion.

Thus far, Obama has called Bibi’s bluff, assuming it is a bluff.

The United States has refused to set a date certain by which Iran must end all enrichment. Hillary Clinton said this weekend that we are “not setting deadlines.” And the election, which could give Obama a free hand to pursue his own timetable and terms for a deal with Tehran, is only eight weeks off.

If Obama, no fan of Bibi, wins, he can tell Bibi: We oppose any Israeli pre-emptive strike. If you attack Iran, we will not support you. Nor will we follow up an Israeli attack with an American attack.

Bibi’s dilemma: Despite his threats of Israeli strikes on Iran, Tehran is taunting him. His Cabinet is divided. The Shas Party in his coalition opposes a war, as do respected retired generals, former Mossad leaders and President Shimon Peres.

And the Americans have sent emissaries, including Secretary Leon Panetta, to tell Bibi we oppose an Israeli attack. The Pentagon does not want war. Three former U.S. Central Command heads oppose a war. And last week, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs Gen. Martin Dempsey said he does not wish to be “complicit” in any Israeli attack.

Implied in the word “complicit” is that Dempsey believes an Israeli first strike on Iran could be an act of aggression.

The Israelis were furious, but suddenly the war talk subsided.

From the clashes, public and private, between these two close allies, it is apparent the United States shares neither Israel’s assessment of the threat nor Israel’s sense of urgency.

Why not? Why, when Netanyahu says Israel is facing an “existential threat,” do the Americans dismiss it?

The first reason is the elephant in the room no one mentions: Israel’s own nuclear arsenal. If Fordow is a difficult target for Israel to destroy with conventional air strikes, it could be annihilated with a single atom bomb.

And Israel has hundreds.

Indeed, if Israel has ruled out use of an atomic weapon, even when it says its very existence is threatened, and neoconservatives claim that Iran’s mullahs are such death-wishing fanatics they cannot be deterred even by nuclear weapons, what is Israel’s awesome atomic arsenal for?

What this suggests is that the Israelis do not believe what they are saying. Their nuclear deterrent is highly credible to all their neighbors. Their existence is not in imminent peril. And the mullahs are not madmen.

When Ronald Reagan was about to take the oath, suddenly those mullahs, assessing that the new American president might be a man of action, not just words, had all the U.S. hostages winging their way home.

When the USS Vincennes mistakenly shot down an Iranian airliner in 1988, the Ayatollah Khomeini, founding father of the Islamic Republic, ended his war with Iraq on unfavorable terms, fearing America was about to intervene on the side of Saddam Hussein.

Like all rulers, good and evil, Iran’s leaders want to preserve what they have — families, homes, lives, privileges, possessions, power. When suicide missions are ordered, you do not read of ayatollahs or of Iranian politicians driving the truck or wearing the vest.

Moreover, the latest report of the international inspectors reveals that while Iran increased its supply of uranium enriched to 20 percent since last spring, an even larger share of that 20-percent uranium has been diverted to make fuel plates for Iran’s U.S.-provided research reactor to make medical isotopes.

If there is no reason to go to war with Iran, there is every reason not to go to war. Notwithstanding the alarmist rhetoric of Bibi and Ehud Barak, President Obama should stand his ground. And on this one, Gov. Romney should stand with the president, not the prime minister.



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Patrick J Buchanan

Patrick J Buchanan

Patrick J. Buchanan is an American conservative political commentator, author, syndicated columnist, politician and broadcaster.

5 thoughts on “Patrick Buchanan: Has Obama Called Bibi’s Bluff? – OpEd

  • Avatar
    September 11, 2012 at 10:43 am
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    Thank you Mr. Buchanan for your thorough analysis of the current situation. This country needs more men like you, who think before they act. I believe your assessment of the situation is well thought out based on intellectual supposition and opinion based on well founded analysis

    Reply
  • Avatar
    September 11, 2012 at 10:15 pm
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    It is not diplomatic extortion at all because no one can push America to do another nation’s dirty work. Bibi and the rest of Israel believe they can push America around, but America fights its own wars for purposes of protecting Americans, American resources and America’s sovereignty.

    The bottom line for Israel is if they choose to attack Iran, they will be doing that on their own and, by attacking Iran they will bring nothing but global condemnation upon Jews and Israel. The retaliation from such an act, could possibly lead to the destruction of Israel, but Bibi never thinks of the consequences.

    If America chooses to destroy another nation’s infrastructure, again, simply for the sake of keeping Israel happy, America also will face global opposition of their actions. The cost of war is too great, loss of lives, loss of homes and huge financial losses. How will America pay for another global war?

    Israel is a very young nation state and they need to be pulled into line by the global community because at the moment, Israel is behaving like a tantrum throwing spoilt brat!So it’s time to take the training wheels of Israel and make them behave like grown-ups, after all, we all know how Israel acquired the land they call Israel in the first place.

    Reply
  • Avatar
    September 13, 2012 at 12:20 am
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    Mr. Buchanan, your article is portraying the urgency as if the Israelis are playing a cat and mouse game. I hope you have the opportunity to recant your article when the missiles tipped with uranium target every major city in the USA. Remember, Iran calls the United States the great Satan and that means you live in it. So, if Bibi is sounding the alarm it is not just only for Israel’s sake. When are the liberals and soothsayers wake up from their slumber, open their eyes and read the hand writing on the wall! America is spoiled rotten to the core, thinking that everything goes on as usual. Your whole article Mr Buchanan, only adds to the Jew bashing and rise of antisemitism, selling not just Israel down the drain, but the USA with it, because of certain cowards in Washington!

    Reply
  • Avatar
    September 13, 2012 at 12:40 am
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    My comment is awaiting moderation? Why? Because I don’t agree with Mr Buchanan’s article? We are not a police state yet and I trust I am still entitled to my heartfelt opinion. I know what I am talking about. I emigrated 48 years ago. I love this country and I am very grieved as I recognize the slow demise of it. Israel is our only true friend and ally in the middle east. We need to stand with Israel.

    Reply
  • Avatar
    September 16, 2012 at 1:49 am
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    Bravo Mr.Buchanan! Dr.Joseph Goebbels would be proud of you. You display the same level of skills analyzing the situation and about the same amount of compassion toward Jews.

    I feel ashame to belong to the same party you belong too. But, at least, I’m glad you didn’t become The President of our great country.

    Reply

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