Putin’s Blitzkrieg Against Ukraine Failed Just As Hitler’s Did Against USSR – OpEd

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Ten months after launching his expanded invasion of Ukraine, Vladimir Putin is set to lose, despite all the talk about the ability of Russian forces to regroup and restart their advance, something that can be easily seen if one thinks about how Hitler’s position looked in 1942, Denis Grachev says.

Ten months after Hitler invaded the USSR, “Germany still considered itself the victor as it controlled an enormous part of the Soviet Union. German forces still hadn’t been destroyed, and to many it seemed that the outcome of the war was uncertain and that in the end Hitler would get a very favorable peace,” the Russian commentator says (publizist.ru/blogs/33/44540/-).

“However,” he continues, “to those more well versed in politics and strategy, it was already clear that the Blitzkrieg had failed and that Germany was doomed. And therefore the USSR received help from the Western allies, in the first instance from the US and the UK” who recognized reality.

Their calculations had nothing to do with sympathies or antipathies. “They were a matter of pure mathematics.” A state with a weaker economy can in principle win a war by using suddenness” but it will lose to one with a stronger economy or backed by those with a stronger one if the war drags on.

Blitzkriegs sometimes work as they did for Japan in 1905 but more often they don’t as was the case with Germany in both world wars. The Kremlin’s Blitzkrieg in Ukraine has failed and so it will lose because the economy of the collective West standing behind Ukraine is vastly larger, Grachev says. “There won’t be any miracles.”

Moscow is “surprisingly lucky” that the world didn’t respond forcefully in 2014, but this time is different; and the Russian government has made a losing bet. “There is thus no light at the end of the tunnel for the Kremlin,” he concludes, “unless of course you count the lights of the electric train that is barreling towards you.”

Paul Goble

Paul Goble is a longtime specialist on ethnic and religious questions in Eurasia. Most recently, he was director of research and publications at the Azerbaijan Diplomatic Academy. Earlier, he served as vice dean for the social sciences and humanities at Audentes University in Tallinn and a senior research associate at the EuroCollege of the University of Tartu in Estonia. He has served in various capacities in the U.S. State Department, the Central Intelligence Agency and the International Broadcasting Bureau as well as at the Voice of America and Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty and at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Mr. Goble maintains the Window on Eurasia blog and can be contacted directly at [email protected] .

2 thoughts on “Putin’s Blitzkrieg Against Ukraine Failed Just As Hitler’s Did Against USSR – OpEd

  • November 30, 2022 at 4:40 am
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    Ukraine is holding out in the ongoing conflict with Russia because of the continued combined assistance from US-NATO. European countries are indeed the most affected by the Russia-Ukraine crisis, and they are paying a huge price for providing aid to Ukraine. Judging from Europe’s predicament today, it is hard for European nations to continue sustaining aid to Ukraine and for “How Long”? Challenging “General Winter” will force Leaders of European countries and even Russia to look for Peace negotiations. Some politicians in Europe have already seen through clearly that the US intends to drag down Russia, weaken Europe, and enhance the dependence of Europe on the US to continue its hegemony on Europe through the Ukraine Conflict.The only clear gainers are US strategic thinkers and Pantagon. However, US taxpayers are also facing the brunt of this Proxy War which is costing them dearly.

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  • November 30, 2022 at 5:28 pm
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    This PATIAL “comment” is clear, active, and immediate disinformation from (probably) Russian sources. It is designed to divide Europe from the US by playing on the comspiracy theory that Europe is a victim of the US worldwide quest for “hegemony” and then follows up with message directed at US conspiracy theorists who clutch their pearls over how US taxpayers will foot the bill. The important message is that Russia has embarked on an unprovoked imperialist adventure that, one hopes, is going terribly wrong.

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